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| UC EAP Office, Grenoble, FR on Nov. 5, 2008 |
The Democratic margin is a lot like 1974, when I was still too young to vote but not too young to think that maybe corruption, war, and predatory, environmentally-destructive corporations would not decide the American future. 2026 is the biggest Dem swing since 1948.
Garrett Graff has a good list of breakthroughs and they are inspiring.
But voters have demanded tangible performance, as Daniel Martinez HoSang points out. Now the Democrats will have to perform.
Here are some early conclusions on 2026:
1. The American Global Majority Resurfaced. In 2002, two Clintonian political commentators published a book called The Emerging Democratic Majority, which predicted the end of the Republican hegemony identified by Kevin Phillips in his 1969 book of analogous name. In an extension of 1990s Third Way politics, Democrats could keep pro-corporate economics while riding the demographic expansion of people of color who reliably voted for them, often by supermajorities.
This cross-racial majority never formed: most whites refused to join. They instead followed relentless Republican culture-wars attacks on affirmative action, racial equality, equality-oriented public programs, integrated public schools, and migration, joined after 9/11 by continuous fear-mongering about a global terrorist threat.
Trump launched his campaign in 2015 with a famous escalation--attacks on Mexican immigrants on Day1. But in 2025 turned his best issue, “border security,” into a national ICE-driven crime wave against working-class communities. He also managed to link his war on DEI to ICE kidnappings of university students for deportation or detention in his budding gulag archipelago. Six weeks before the mid-terms, Trump was underwater on his signature issue.
2. A Decade of Left Populist Economics Pays Off. It was a very good night for democratic socialists, whose healthcare and potholes focus turned up in the farmbelt and among centrists. Throughout that Gore-Kerry period, and then with Obama’s bailout of Wall Street not Main Street in 2009, Democrats blew their second chance to be the party of the working majority. The Democrat’s national leadership sounded so much like Republicans on economics that many people literally couldn’t tell which party sided more with workers. This likely cost Hillary Clinton the 2016 election: note this figure from a 2017 study:
Bernie Sanders had started his presidential campaign for populist economics in 2015. But he was fought by the Democratic leadership. He was joined by others but it seemed to be happening one at a time. In Trump’s second term, he and AOC did their Fighting Oligarchy Tour, and Zohran Mamdani’s 2025 mayoral campaign finally put affordability back on the national agenda. This week’s Texas revolution was driven by the left economic populism of victorious Senate candidate James Talarico and winning gubernatorial candidate Gina Hinojosa. Hinojosa defined populism as the replacement of culture wars with an inclusive economics. And Trump helped them so much.
3. Organizing Broke the Solid South. I did not expect the utterly heroic fightback after the Supreme Court endorsed the Republican bid to build permanent minority rule (e.g. Louisiana v. Callais in April 2026) through gerrymandering, voter suppression, and general cheating, slander of everyone involved with state elections, and threats of armed policing of polling places. The people, it turns out, were undeterred. A decade of organizing plus massive Black turnout in response to all these efforts to cut them out has ended the entrenched Republican dominance of the South of the past half-century.
Georgia has elected the first Black woman governor not just in state but in US history, along with Black women to other top state positions. South Carolina has its first Democratic senator in 28 years. Mississippi may be electing its first Black senator in 151 years. It’s pretty much the opposite of what the Supreme Court majority and the Trump administration thought they had locked in place.
4. Science, Knowledge, Expertise, and Research Won
The war on knowledge suffered an important defeat. Michael sent me Jessica Glenza's piece, "Revenge of the Nerds," on the setbacks for MAHA medicine. "From 2011 to 2020, 86% of the physician-members of Congress were Republican and three-quarters were from southern states." In contrast, 'among the history-making lawmakers are Democrats Dr Abdul El-Sayed of Michigan and Dr Annie Andrews of South Carolina. The last time a Democratic doctor held a seat in the US Senate was in 1969 – the era when Medicare and Medicaid were passed into law. They are far from alone: 3.14 Action is still tallying wins and waiting for results among “hundreds” of obscure state races, some of which are not even reporting results yet.'
This happened in spite of the total absence of a national Democratic policy for rebuilding higher education either fiscally or as an intellectual endeavour. It happened in spite of the absence of a campaign from universities themselves. Voters are in a pro-knowledge mood having just lived through what happens when it's tossed aside. Universities help build the personal and group agency for the shift in consciousness so many voters clearly want. But knowledge workers of the nation will need to build a campaign.
Which brings us to:
5. Universities Should Drop Everyone’s Least Favourite Thing about Democrats
By that I don’t mean diversity: I mean not fighting. My current preferred pollster, G. Ellliott Morris, got into this issue last spring. The message is in the headline.
Democrats also hate this about Democrats. They beat Republicans on so many other issues. “Too weak/ not fighting enough” is by far the most detested feature of their own party. Mine too.
Morris sums it up: “The party’s core weakness is not that voters see it as elitist or too extreme; it is that too many voters, including their own, see Democratic politicians as unmoored, passive, and ineffective.”
Exactly the same is true of universities. They aren’t distrusted for being too liberal, but for not standing up. As we’ve noted a lot here in the last year and a half, universities distinguished themselves by not fighting Trump. They forced their faculty to file law suits on their own, and bent the knee to Trump where it didn’t seem too embarrassing to do so.
People don’t love universities because of trickle-down tech transfer and job training: the first seems pro-plutocracy, the latter is baked in and also a category mistake.
People would love universities that openly, proudly fought for knowledge, truth, regular people (that is against high tuition and debt), and graduate agency in democratic life. Faculty can show the way by fighting for quality teaching and research, more systematically than they have until now.
6. Organizing on Education in the States
Democrats improved their standing in the states, but Daniel Nichainian told Amy Goodman that Republicans hung on to many state legislatures with gerrymandering. Higher ed analyst Robert Kelchen posted this map.
It's a mixed bag, especially given the scale of the shift. Noting that state higher ed funding is again lagging inflation, Kelchen writes, "I do not expect Democratic gains to lead to meaningful changes in state funding."There will have to be new battling now. Quite a few of the newly elected Democrats understand this. The first Gen Z Congresswoman, incoming Democrat from Colorado Melat Kiros, put it like this: "that’s what my entire primary campaign was about. It was about people calling themselves progressives, people saying the right things, but not actually meaningfully doing anything to move the agenda along." So now we must have this meaningfully doing things to move the agenda--against corruption and for for health care and education alike.
7. Revolt in Anger, Knowledge from Love
The modern culture wars have been going on for 40 years. No one worked the politics of hate like Trump, and it worked really well until it didn’t. A lot of Trump’s 2024 base seems to have decided that anger isn’t solving their problems anymore. It’s not filling the tank, and also it’s not giving them a personal sense of understanding and control.
Talarico's “Love thy neighbor” is a much better starting point for thinking about the other. It's also much better for thinking about how to work with them to deal with with data centers (1 of 47 allowed to proceed), media monopoly, oligarchy and everything else. If Texas can do it, why not the rest of the country?
That’s the musician-activist Bobby Pulido with Talarico and Hinojosa. He just took the gerrymandered TX-15 from the Republican incumbent 62%-38%.
And Michigan: you did it.
















