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Tuesday, December 31, 2024

Tuesday, December 31, 2024

Santa Barbara on December 31, 2013
While pondering how to demand a pro-knowledge culture without being a boring, elitist jerk, I read a tweet by a fellow elitist jerk. It was written by Matthew Sheffield, a former right-wing activist who's flipped.

Since Donald Trump began his political career, a [lack of a ] college degree has become a sort of proxy for "Trumpiness." But education is not the primary divide. It's cognition. Intelligence and cognition are often mistaken for each other, but they are not the same thing.

Yes, I thought. Hell yes. The knowledge bonfire isn't caused by Trumpers being dumb.  They aren't.  But it does come from their bad cognition—really their knowledge refusal. And the challenge remains how to target bad or refused thinking without this being a way to call Trumpers dumb.  


A few of you responded to my last post by saying the second half overdid the stress on thinking at the expense of emotion, which rules politics.  


I certainly agree that thought and feeling are constantly intertwined. But in the list of factors behind Trump’s disastrous return to power, two are neglected that I’m stressing in this set of posts: an entitlement not to think (through) issues; and a tolerance or even celebration of ignorance as heartland authenticity. 


Still on this track, I went and read the paper Sheffield cites.  It's by a quantitative sociologist of religion named Darren K. Sherkat, and is called "Cognitive Sophistication, Religion, and the Trump Vote." 


Sherkat notes that “sectarian” Protestants were much more likely to vote for Trump than mainline Protestants, members of other religions, or the non-religious (3/4th of sectarians voted for Trump while 1/4th of Jews and the non-religious did; other Christians were split). 


But what is it about sectarian Protestants that makes them more MAGA even than other practicing Protestants not to mention everyone else?


The normal explanation is that sectarian Protestants are more conservative, and conservatives are more likely to vote for Trump than are centrists or leftists.  


Secondly, sectarian Protestants appear prone to white Christian nationalism, and in all his campaigns Trump validated white supremacist ideas and depicted white Christians as under siege.


Sherkat suggests that these terms are more opaque than we think. Also, the causal links are unclear.  Does white conservatism push people towards evangelical “identity” or the reverse?He’s certainly right that we need to separate out various factors. 


In my reading—I’ll reconstruct his piece more than summarize it—Sherkat seeks a common source of being a sectarian and/or white nationalist and/or authoritarian Protestant and finds limited cognition.  He contrasts limited cognition with “cognitive sophistication.” 


The paper doesn’t define this term clearly, and it seems almost custom-made to offend MAGA voters. But it is suggestive. 


I associate cognitive sophistication with the learned ability to assemble disparate elements of a problem under conditions of ambiguity. The elements probably don’t come from the same disciplines and likely don’t match, but must be bridged through interpretation. The person with cognitive sophistication sees non-matching as a positive call to high-effort thinking, and the result is a facility with complexity and perhaps with systems thinking. 

Sherkat measures cognitive sophistication as “verbal ability.” This is of course reductive, but it does get at a capacity for interpretation that will turn out to be important.


Trump voters are indeed “conservative,” but studies suggest that conservatism may be an effect of limited cognition.  Here’s a rather brutal passage from Sherkat that I quote at length:

Beginning with Adorno’s classic study of the authoritarian personality, empirical works have linked low levels of cognitive sophistication with right-wing orientations. . . . including authoritarianism, social dominance, ethnocentrism, dogmatism, and general conservatism (Choma and Hanoch, 2017; Heaven, Ciarrochi, and Leeson, 2011;McCourt et al., 1999; Onraet et al., 2015; Pennycook and Rand, 2019b). Indeed, Onraet and colleagues performed a systematic meta-analysis of 90 studies relating measures of cognitive sophistication to authoritarianism, conservatism, prejudice, dogmatism, and ethnocentrism and found a consistent substantial negative relationship (Onraet et al., 2015).

Experimental studies also suggest that “…conservatism may be a process consequence of low-effort thought” (Eidelman et al., 2012:808). Stereotyping and prejudices enable cognitive short cuts that are useful for those whose mental faculties are taxed. This low-effort approach to information is also echoed in studies of receptivity to false information, where studies have found that lack of reasoning leads to acceptance of false information and is also associated with a preference for Trump in the 2016 election (Choma and Hanoch, 2017; Pennycook and Rand, 2019a, 2019b). Trump’s campaign may also have been more attractive to people with low cognitive sophistication and a preference for low-effort information processing because compared to other candidates Trump’s speeches were given at a much lower reading level (Kayam, 2018; Wang and Liu, 2018).


The point is not that conservatives who vote for Trump are dumb and can’t think. The point is that they engage in “low-effort thought” towards politics (leaving room for strenuouos and sustained thinking about their job, their sports teams, their family relationships, and other things they really care about). 


Over time, low-effort thought about politics leads to a lack of cognitive sophistication about politics.  This will likely translate as “can’t think” about those issues at crunch time. This is because thinking well depends on knowledge and methods that are rehearsed, interconnected, and accumulated week after week, year after year. 


Thinking well also depends on being relatively unrepressed about one’s emotional life and how emotions are affecting impressions and decisions.  The low-effort state makes that unnecessary or impossible.  


Trumpism offers a cognitive shortcut that bypasses the unpleasant ambiguities resulting from not thinking about issues that seem to be making your life worse.  You don’t have to work through anything--evidence, arguments, or feelings--because his answer is fully charged and waiting for you.


What about the second issue, sectarian / nationalist Christian faith? Sherkat tells a similar story:

Religious factors have also been associated with cognitive sophistication, and the overwhelming consensus is that the relationship between religiosity and cognitive sophistication is negative (cf. Kanazawa, 2010; Pennycook et al., 2012; Reynolds et al., 2020; Sherkat, 2010; Stagnaro et al., 2019. Zuckerman, Silberman, and Hall, 2013, 2020). Importantly for this study, several examinations of the negative relationship between cognitive sophistication and religiosity have also implicated conservative political and social values in the relationship (Ludeke, Johnson, and Bouchard, 2013; Reynolds et al., 2020; Saribay and Yilmaz, 2017). Most of these studies approach the relationship between cognitive sophistication and religiosity from a distinctively psychological angle, viewing intelligence as a cognitive trait that inoculates against irrational beliefs. However, exclusivist sectarian religious groups may create isolated networks and deficit networks that hinder the development and maintenance of knowledge (Sherkat, 2010, 2011).


Sherkat is not interested in “intelligence as a cognitive trait” that stands alone and affects political choices. He’s interested in cognitive sophistication as an effect of functioning information networks.  To put words in his mouth, functioning information networks circulate generally accurate information in relation to other information networks that enable (and require) ongoing acts of active interpretation.  These networks constitute (local) cultures, with which individual continuously engage. 


For Sherkat, the problem is not conservative Protestantism or Christian identity as such. The problem is that “exclusivist sectarian religious groups may create isolated networks and deficit networks that hinder the development and maintenance of knowledge.”  


In other words, the Christians who vote 3:1 for Trump are not simply conservative or racist or patriarchal white Christians, but Christians who live in a culture that has normalized “low-effort thought” and knowledge deficiency.  This then enables feelings (distrust of Democrats, dislike of immigrants, unease with autonomous women) to crystallize as white patriarchal voting in part because there is no mediation, no potential deterrence, from high-effort thought.  


I was especially interested as a lit person in Sherkat’s measuring (“proxying”) intensity of thinking as a specific relationship to textual interpretation.  


He uses a classification system that allows people to choose among three different understandings of scripture.


“(1) the Bible is the actual word of God and is to be taken literally, word for word; 


“(2) the Bible is the inspired word of God but not everything in it should be taken literally, word for word; and 


“(3) the Bible is an ancient book of fables, legends, history, and moral precepts recorded by men” (185).  


The first two groups consist of believing Christians, but members of the first group believe in Scriptural “inerrancy.” This belief skewed voting towards Trump.  


People in the second group are religious in the sense that they believe the Bible is the inspired word of God, but they also believe that it cannot always be taken literally, that is, it must be interpreted by people (churches, ministers, the faithful themselves).  Moving from an inerrant to an interpretative understanding of scripture reduced “the odds of a Trump vote by 52 percent” (189).  “[T]he difference between people with secular Bible beliefs [group 2] compared to inerrant believers remains significant even after controls for partisanship and political ideology.” 


This is an important finding. It suggests that seeing language, even scriptural language, as requiring interpretation is likely to shift voters away from Trump.


The importance of interpretation may also explain the correlation between college completion and not voting for Trump. College attendance moves people away from Trump not because it makes people less likely to be religious (they aren’t)  but because it increases their “verbal ability.”  


As Sherkat puts it, “The baseline model shows that verbal ability has a significant and substantial negative impact on the odds of voting for Trump, even after controls for education, rural origins, southern residence, and other factors. In the baseline model each point increase on the verbal exam reduces the odds of voting for Trump versus Clinton/others by 14 percent” (189). 


This is a big finding. Greater verbal facility or verbal experience, let’s call it, enables a non-authoritarian relation to texts, even when one regards it as God’s text:  one’s active cognitive engagement is required to generate understanding of the text.  One’s consent is required to establish its meaning. 


I posit that it’s a short step from seeing interpretation as normal and inevitable (or even enjoyable and interesting) to feeling comfortable with democratic negotiations of political authority. The same goes for preferring democracy as a mode of governance to authoritarianism.


Of course it’s very hard to disentangle these factors and they indeed work together. Causality also works in multiple directions. This is culture after all, so interrelations are very complex. There are issues with this paper that Sherkat acknowledges and that I set aside in noting that much more research needs to be done.


But within the familiar political issues lurks this possibility: the refusal of hermeneutics is the Trumpian superpower.  This power grows as a refusal becomes a standing incapacity with hermeneutics. 


This refusal of or incapacity with a hermeneutical stance toward the wider world and its people may in turn underlie the MAGA rejection of the radical diversity of the actual world—the queer planet, the Black planet, the godless planet, the Gaia planet. For without a capacity for interpretation, one’s understanding and one’s sense of safety do indeed become more elusive across various forms of difference.


Then there’s our flip side:  insistence on hermeneutics is Trumpian kryptonite.  


The question then is how to spread this outside already well-structured anti-Trump domains. How do we make hermeneutics a fun and interesting as well as inevitable part of everyday life across the whole society?


That’s the question we’re going to have to start answering and implementing in 2025. 


Universities are a big part of the answer. They enable the practice in making knowledge, in not being alienated from it, in wielding knowledge as personal agency, in having knowledge being a fun thing you do with others.  If we call the result “cognitive sophistication” we have to insist it’s not an elite capacity but a general one, and obtainable though but not only through the university. 

 

2024 has been a great year for violence, coercion and knowledge destruction in all their forms. 


2025 is going to be just as difficult. But it will be better that I at least expect if we can help reconnect more people to the inglorious power of thinking in the construction of their society. 


My warmest wishes for your 2025. 

Monday, December 30, 2024

Monday, December 30, 2024

Vancouver MLA Convention on January 9, 2015

--December 24, 2024

Dear Executive Director Paula Krebs and Members of the MLA Executive Council,

 On December 18th,  a letter sent to you from eight past presidents of the MLA was published on LitHub.  The letter raises serious questions about your decision to suppress Resolution 2025-1.  As past presidents, the signers of this letter are well aware of your body’s fiduciary responsibilities, which you have cited as the primary reason for not permitting this resolution to move forward.  Nonetheless, they raise some critical questions about how the supposed economic fallout was calculated, and the generally “conjectural” nature of the legal and financial consequences that you reference as the basis for disallowing a vote. 

As current and past members of the MLA’s Committee on Academic Freedom and Professional Rights and Responsibilities, we seek to uphold the academic freedom of our members, and by extension the core principle of shared governance on which academic freedom rests.  On this basis, we feel called upon to write in support of the organization’s former presidents, and their fundamental point that the extent of the MLA’s legal or financial exposure from the potential passage of this resolution is itself open to scrutiny and debate.  Shared governance is in crisis in our universities precisely because deans and provosts and chancellors are making unaccountable decisions behind closed doors citing financial exigency.  This situation cannot be allowed to replicate itself in the professional organizations that we count on to support us in our struggle for faculty rights on our campuses.  

Equally important, we are deeply concerned that we had to read this response on LitHub, as the link began circulating through our personal networks.  The Executive Council’s messages and report have circulated to the full MLA membership. (Notably, the executive report sent to the MLA membership on December 16, did not mention that two EC members, Rebecca Colesworthy and Esther Allen, have resigned from the committee in protest.) The signers of this Presidents’ letter are no less qualified to comment on the matter of this resolution, and there is simply no warrant for the exercise of communicational control that ensures that only one position is represented to the membership. This would appear to be a clear violation of the most fundamental principles of academic freedom and open debate in the MLA. With all due respect, we therefore write to urge that the letter posted to LitHub be immediately circulated to the full membership of the MLA.

The signers of this letter have been members of MLA and served on multiple MLA committees because of our commitment to the organization and its ideals.  We look forward to ongoing discussions with other MLA members about how to translate our mutual theories about academic freedom and shared governance into practice for our premier organization. 

With thanks and in anticipation of future collaboration,

Signatures updated for circulation 12/27/24 

Amit Baishya, University of Oklahoma

Linda Carroll, Tulane University

Eva Cherniavsky, University of Washington

Maureen E. Ruprecht Fadem, CUNY-Kingsborough  

Pedro GarcĂ­a-Caro, University of Oregon

Michelle Massé, Louisiana State University

Valerie Traub, University of Michigan

Debra A. Castillo, Cornell University. 

Eric Hayot, Pennsylvania State University

Anjali Prabhu,  UCLA. 

The views expressed here are those of the signers, and do not represent their schools or employers.

Two current or past CAFPRR members who signed the original letter to the Executive Director and Executive Council of the MLA prefer that it not be circulated further and have removed their signatures for this version.


Sunday, December 29, 2024

Sunday, December 29, 2024

Lake Michigan from MLA Hotel on January 6, 2019
Background headnote is here

December 17, 2024

 Dear Members of the Executive Council of the Modern Language Association,

We write to you as former Council members deeply concerned by your recent decision not to allow a resolution in support of the Palestinian call for Boycott, Divestment, and Sanctions to go forward to the Delegate Assembly. The Executive Council’s statement on the resolution, along with an FAQ, is now posted on the MLA website, and the rationale  summed up by the Executive Director in two recent articles.

 We respectfully disagree with the reasoning we find in those statements, and urge you to reconsider your decision.

The argument against allowing MLA members to consider the resolution in a practical manner is that there are many anti-BDS laws; some of these laws restrict state contracts (although no specific examples are given); two-thirds of the MLA’s operating budget comes from “sales of products to universities and libraries”; therefore, this resolution cannot even be discussed and brought to a vote.

 We understand from our own experience on the Council that as fiduciaries you are charged with protecting the organization and to do so conscientiously.  However, we feel that, especially at this time in history, the MLA must more carefully weigh hypothetical threats to its finances against the real danger of losing its credibility as a defender of the humanities.

 Your decision to not allow members to even debate and vote is, we believe, a breach of trust, a word that is, of course, the basis of the very term, “fiduciary.”  The MLA proudly declares:

 This is an especially important time for the MLA to define its values. The values on which the MLA bases its decision-making are

 Equity: The MLA supports and encourages impartiality, fairness, and justice throughout the humanities ecosystem.

 Inclusion: The MLA recognizes that all members should feel a sense of belonging within the association—that they are accepted, supported, and valued in word and in actions and that the association’s resources are accessible to them.

 Advocacy: The MLA champions intellectual freedom; fair working conditions; and the value of scholarship in, pedagogy of, and public engagement with the humanities.

 Sadly, your decision suggests that the “humanities ecosystem” and advocacy for “intellectual freedom; fair working conditions; and the value of scholarship in, pedagogy of, and public engagement with the humanities” excludes not only the basic human rights of Palestinians, but also its own members’ right to collectively act as advocates for a people whom the international humanitarian community has determined to be living (and dying) under an oppressive apartheid system and genocidal attack, as documented by the International Court of Justice, Amnesty International, Human Rights Watch, and B’Tselem.

 The United Nations Office of the High Commissioner on Human Rights has expressed its alarm at Israel’s campaign of scholasticide against our colleagues in Palestine. Their findings are worth quoting at length:

‘With more than 80% of schools in Gaza damaged or destroyed, it may be reasonable to ask if there is an intentional effort to comprehensively destroy the Palestinian education system, an action known as “scholasticide”,’ the experts said.

The term refers to the systemic obliteration of education through the arrest, detention or killing of teachers, students and staff, and the destruction of educational infrastructure.

 After six months of military assault, more than 5,479 students, 261 teachers and 95 university professors have been killed in Gaza, and over 7,819 students and 756 teachers have been injured – with numbers growing each day. At least 60 per cent of educational facilities, including 13 public libraries, have been damaged or destroyed and at least 625,000 students have no access to education. Another 195 heritage sites, 227 mosques and three churches have also been damaged or destroyed, including the Central Archives of Gaza, containing 150 years of history. Israa University, the last remaining university in Gaza was demolished by the Israeli military on 17 January 2024. Without safe schools, women and girls face additional risks, including gender-based violence. More than 1 million Palestinian children in Gaza are now in need of mental health and psychosocial support and will suffer the trauma of this war throughout their lives.

‘The persistent, callous attacks on educational infrastructure in Gaza have a devastating long-term impact on the fundamental rights of people to learn and freely express themselves, depriving yet another generation of Palestinians of their future,’ the experts said. ‘Students with international scholarships are being prevented from attending university abroad,’ they added.

 To quote from an email sent to MLA leadership by a graduate student colleague in protest of the decision: “What does safeguarding our surplus resources matter, when our peers in Gaza do not even have the resources to stay alive and study in safety?”  And how can the MLA’s professed values be given any credence at all, given its silencing of its own members?

 We are not asking the Council to take a position on Palestine. We are asking you to let us, as members of the MLA community, debate on whether we wish, as a collective, to take a position. To disallow us from doing so not only erodes our trust in the MLA with regard to Palestine, but with regard to any other possibly controversial matters.  Will you stand strong as the Trump administration attacks things like Critical Race Theory, for example, or queer theory, trans literature? Surely the new administration will punish scholars in these areas and impose penalties on those who defend them. Can members trust you to stay strong?

 We understand that this was not an easy decision, but we urge you to make the right one.

 Signed,

Samer M. Ali, Associate Professor, Department of Middle East Studies and the Residential

College, University of Michigan. MLA Executive Council member Jan. 2012–Jan. 2016, Jan.

2020–Jan. 2024

 

Esther Allen, MLA Executive Council member, 2021 - Dec 2024  

 

Emily Apter, Silver Professor of French Literature, Thought and Culture and Comparative Literature, New York University. MLA Executive Council member, Jan. 2015–Jan. 2019

 

Michael Bérubé, Edwin Erle Sparks Professor of Literature, Pennsylvania State University.

2002–05, 2010–Jan. 2012 (VP), Jan. 2012–Jan. 2013 (P)

 

Debra A. Castillo, Emerson Hinchliff Professor of Hispanic Studies, Professor of Comparative Literature, Cornell University. MLA Executive Council member Jan. 2011–Jan. 2015

 

Rey Chow, Andrew W. Mellon Distinguished Professor in the Humanities, Duke University. MLA Executive Council member, 2001–04

 

Rebecca Colesworthy, MLA Executive Council member, 2021 - Dec 2024

 

Margaret Ferguson, Distinguished Professor of English Emerita, University of California at

Davis. MLA Executive Council member 1997–2000, Jan. 2012–Jan. 2014 (VP), Jan. 2014–Jan.

2015 (P)

 

Lenora Hanson, Associate Professor, English Department, New York University, MLA Executive Council member, Jan. 2016–Dec. 2017

 

Eric Hayot, Distinguished Professor of Comparative Literature and Asian Studies, Pennsylvania State University, Jan. MLA Executive Council member Jan. 2017–Jan. 2021

 

MarĂ­a Herrera-Sobek, Professor Emerita, University of California, Santa Barbara. MLA Executive Council member, Jan. 2011–Jan. 2015

 

Margaret R Higonnet, Professor Emerita, Department of English, University of Connecticut. MLA Executive Council member. Jan. 2014–Jan. 2018 

 

Jean E. Howard, George Delacorte Professor Emerita in the Humanities, Columbia University.

MLA Executive Council member Jan. 2018–Jan. 2022

 

Lisa Karakaya, Department of Modern and Classical Languages, Hunter College High School, CUNY.  MLA Executive Council member Jan. 2020–Jan. 2024

 

Mary Layoun, Professor of Comparative Literature Emerita, University of Wisconsin, Madison.

MLA Executive Council member 2005–08

 

Elizabeth Losh, Professor of English and American Studies. MLA Executive Council member Jan. 2018–Jan. 2022

 

Yolanda MartĂ­nez-San Miguel, Marta S. Weeks Chair in Latin American Studies, University of

Miami. MLA Executive Council member 2004–07

 

David Palumbo-Liu, Louise Hewlett Nixon Professor, Stanford University. MLA Executive

Council member Jan. 2015–Dec. 2017

 

Anjali Prabhu, Professor and Edward W. Said Chair in Comparative Literature, UCLA. MLA Executive Council member Jan. 2019–Jan. 2023.

 

Mary Louise Pratt, Silver Professor and Professor of Spanish and Portuguese Languages and

Literatures Emerita, New York University. MLA Executive Council member 1985–88, 2001–02

(VP), 2003 (P)

 

Paula Rabinowitz, Professor Emerita of English, University of Minnesota. MLA Executive Council member 2006–09

 

Tey Diana Rebolledo, Distinguished Professor Emerita, Department of Spanish and Portuguese, The University of New Mexico. MLA Executive Council member 2001–04

 

RamĂ³n SaldĂ­var, Hoagland Professor of Humanities & Sciences, Professor of English & of Comparative Literature, Stanford University. Jan. 2018–Jan. 2022

 

Rosaura SĂ¡nchez, Professor of Latin American Literature and Chicano Literature, University of

California, San Diego. MLA Executive Council member 2003–04

 

Ignacio M. SĂ¡nchez Prado, Professor of Latin American Studies, Washington U in St. Louis.

MLA Executive Council member Jan. 2020–Jan. 2024

 

George YĂºdice, Professor of Modern Languages and Literatures, University of Miami. MLA Executive Council member 1997–2000


 

Friday, December 27, 2024

Friday, December 27, 2024

East Beach, Santa Barbara, Christmas Day 2024
THE PLUTOCRATS’ NEED TO NEVER BE CRITICIZED, LIKE, EVER.

'It’s not even [plutocrats'] supposed lack of impunity that enrages them against their “enemies.” In fact, Democrats have given the tech bros and other plutocrats de facto impunity for years. Obama failed to hold any of the Wall Street plutocrats accountable for the fact that they brought down the world economy in 2007-8. In fact, he bailed them out.' 

. . .

 

‘No, what really enraged the Wall Street plutocrats against Obama was not that he held them to account, which he didn’t, but that he criticized them. He called them “fat cat bankers.” And in their rage at Obama’s insult, they threatened to seize up the economy again by refusing to loan money. They were still enraged even after Obama backed off his remarks. This is what you get when you join immense wealth and unaccountable power with infinite narcissism.

 

‘The authoritarian-loving tech bro set is no different. They already have practically unlimited wealth and impunity. What these wounded narcissists demand is to be worshipped, Ayn Rand style. Democrats, liberals, academics will never give that to them. They are too prone to fact-checking, too skeptical, too critical of the established order that put the plutocrats on top.

 

‘But Trump is happy to flatter the tech bros and all their malignant prejudices if they show love for him in return. Never mind that Trump’s flattery is entirely transactional. Narcissists don’t mind if the flattery is conditional, insincere, or even created by themselves.’

...

‘Where will this end? Rousseau, in his Discourse on the Origins of Inequality, argued that the central psychosocial motive driving inequalities of wealth and power is the desire for superior esteem. People compete to acquire more wealth and power than others, because that is what people come to admire above all as inequality increases. (As early 20th century oil magnate Haroldson L. Hunt said, “Money’s just a way of keeping score.“)

 

‘Rousseau claimed that, in the absence of a republican social contract putting brakes on inequality, the rise of private property and commercial society will lead to runaway inequality and ultimately to despotism. In the end, even the rich will become slaves to the despot, forced to bow and scrape before him.

 

‘We are even seeing it now, before Trump has been sworn in, much less crowned.’

 

SOURCE: Liz AndersonCrooked Timber

 

AUSTERITY YESTERDAY CREATED EUROPE’S WEAKNESS TODAY

 

'This decline is not the result of a political law of nature. Instead, Europe’s current political constellation owes much to a cohort of politicians and officials who held sway in the 2010s across the continent. Following Angela Merkel’s lead during her 16-year stint as Germany’s chancellor, it was they who set the terms of European politics that have now come back to haunt policymakers. Their response, for instance, to the “euro crisis” — the seemingly never-ending financial troubles that followed the crash of 2008 — was to offer a damaging blend of moralism and technocracy.

 

'Doubling down on punitive austerity measures, Jeroen Dijsselbloem — Ms. Merkel’s lieutenant as head of an informal grouping of Eurozone finance ministers — claimed that the debt-ridden governments of Southern Europe had wasted their money on “schnapps and women.” For his part, Jean-Claude Juncker, then chief of the European Commission, admonished Greeks that there was “no need to commit suicide because you are afraid of dying.” Led by Ms. Merkel, Europe’s politicians insisted on obeisance to financial markets and European etiquette, no matter the consequences.'

 

SOURCE: Anton Jäger and Dries DanielsNew York Times

 

THE SOLAR BOOM HAS NOT BLOCKED THE COAL BOOM IN CHINA

 



 



 

SOURCE: International Energy Agency via Ed Conway, Twitter

 

CORPORATE-OWNED JOURNALISM IS ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE TO TRUMP 

 

'Without reflection, [The Washington Post story, "Trump signals plans to use all levers of power against the media"] treats the plight of giant media companies as the same as its impact on journalism.

 

'The article adds a few new details about why a corporation built off nearly a century of Intellectual Property protection for a cartoon mouse settled a lawsuit. But it doesn’t lay out the obvious implication of the story it tells: that ABC was vulnerable to Trump’s attack not, primarily, because of its journalism — because of what Stephanopoulos said — but instead because the mouse company is not primarily interested in journalism.

 

'That is, it is precisely Disney’s size and scope that rendered it vulnerable to Trump’s threats. 


. . .

'For a corporation like Disney — or an oligarch like Jeff Bezos — it’s the other competing interests that may doom the journalism. And journalists need to be clear about that dynamic.'

 

SOURCE: Marcie WheelerEmptywheel

 

 

IT'S NOT THE UNIVERSITIES, IT'S THE CORPORATIONS

 

'Apart from this problem of potentially inconsistent measurement over time, the rush to attribute England’s supposed peculiar problem of overqualification to an oversupply of graduates is misplaced. Our re-examination of OECD’s survey data shows that, in England, graduates face lower risks of overqualification than non-graduates: the overqualification rate among non-graduates is 17 percentage points higher than among those with a degree. This gap between graduates and non-graduates broadly aligns with our own data from the British Skills and Employment Surveys.

 

'The Director for Education and Skills at the OECD, Andreas Schleicher, has been quoted saying that the UK’s higher education sector is “overextending” itself, with universities offering credentials that lack substantive value. However, with this oversimplified reaction, he is surely aiming at the wrong part of our education system.

 

'In addition, he is almost certainly targeting the wrong side of the labour market.

 

'Overqualification in the UK is likely driven, not so much by an oversupply of graduates as by a failure to create enough middle-skill jobs and robust vocational pathways outside universities.

 

'Overqualification is indeed a pressing issue. Even at a rate nearer 3 in 10, overqualification in England is higher than in most other advanced economies in the OECD. Overqualification depresses wages, diminishes job satisfaction, and undermines long-term productivity as underutilised skills atrophy. But this knee-jerk pinning of blame just on education, particularly on higher education, misses the mark, and forgets about the external benefits that education brings for society and the economy. Instead, England’s policymakers must address the structural deficiencies in the labour market, particularly the lack of opportunities for those with intermediate qualifications.

 

'Simplistic diagnoses risk distracting from the real challenges. England’s education system is not producing “too many” graduates. Instead, its economy and further education system fail to provide sufficient opportunities to harness the potential of those not bound for higher education.'

 

SOURCE: Golo Hesenke and Francis Green, Higher Education Policy Institute

 

COP29 FAILED BECAUSE THE FINANCIAL SECTOR CONTROLS THE PROCESS

 

'Tina Gerhardt: So in 2009 in Copenhagen, nations from the global north, which both historically and present day, these nations are disproportionately responsible for emissions, thus the climate crisis also, they agreed to pay $100 billion per year between the years of 2020 and 2025 to nations in the global south. Nations in the global south produce negligible amounts of emissions and yet they're on the front lines suffering the brunt of climate change impacts. Those range from drought in the Horn of Africa, which has been prolonged and ongoing last year, the year before, as well as the impacts of sea level rise on low-lying island nations around the world, to name just two examples.

 

'Payments in that amount of $100 billion per year between 2020 and 2025 never materialized. So as a result of that, at COP29, the first order of business was to renegotiate this amount, and crucially, really crucially, and I want to underscore this because I think this is going to be an issue to track going forward, how it was going to be paid. I'll come back to that in a second.”

 

'Second, in terms of the issues of finance, was loss and damage. These are two separate issues in terms of the finance issues. Loss and damage was agreed to two years ago at COP27 in Sharm el-Sheikh in Egypt.

 

'And with regard to loss and damage, last year, about a dozen countries agreed to pay $720 million. UN Secretary General Antonio Guterres, who's been really terrific in calling out hypocrisies on the issue of the climate crisis, called this amount woefully inadequate.

 

'Doug Henwood: That was million with an M?

 

'Gerhardt: Exactly. That's exactly what I was going to understand.

 

'Henwood: That's pocket change, really.

 

'Gerhardt: Exactly. Exactly. I couldn't agree more with you, Doug.

 

'So last year, no, two years ago, there were these floods that your listeners might recall that hit Pakistan, right? In 2022, third of the nation underwater, killing 3,000 people, half of whom are children. And to get back to the finance issue, at least 30 billion with a B in loss and damage.

 

'So that's one country and that's billion with a B. And the amount of all countries in the global north being offered is 720 million, as you put it, with an M. So, loss and that was a total wash at this year's climate conference.

...

'Every single year right now, nations have to do this kind of a stock taking of what they're doing to rein in emissions. They have to submit that to the UN. But crucially, there has never been a mechanism by which nations are held accountable to those things that they report or submit or that they are punished if they don't submit or they don't hold themselves to what their goals are.

 

'And that needs to change for this to have any kind of a realistic impact.'

 

...

'Another issue that I think is not going to go away is that the mechanism by which finance is generated from the global north to the global south needs to change. Specifically, that monies need to be delivered in the form of outright monies and not in the form of loans, because those further in debt countries in the global south. So there's a lot of discussion this year about how monies are supposed to flow from the global north to the global south.

 

'As I mentioned at the top, the $100 billion per year that was promised in 2009 at Copenhagen never materialized. At COP29 this year, wealthier nations promised $1.3 trillion in climate finance by 2035. But only 30 billion of the 1.3 trillion is going to come in direct monies.

 

'The rest of it is going to come through multilateral development banks, MDBs, entities like the World Bank, the European Investment Bank, the Inter-American Development Bank. The rest of the monies are going to come from the private sector, other new forms of finance. And this is a really big issue because of the interest and the further indebted that that might lead to.

 

And I think, you know, to view it cynically from the inverse vantage point, to me it looks like the World Bank and other entities are figuring out that the climate crisis is something that they can financially profit off of, which is totally disgusting and loathsome, but I think that that's out there.' 

 

...

'The climate crisis is obviously a global issue, but it's a global financial issue in that if nations from the global north do nothing to address it, it will eventually impact their bottom lines, right? There's a group in terms of finances during COP29, a group of economists chaired by Nicholas Stern, who's an economist, a banker, an academic at LSE, Amar Bhattacharya, who's at the Brookings Institute, and Vera Songwei at the World Bank, among others. They released this report that said that 30 billion offered directly is far too low and basically 1.3 trillion a year is needed.

 

'And if there's any kind of holding back, this amount is only going to increase with any kind of dithering. And I think that's important to take note of, too. This amount, 1.3 trillion a year, needed by 2030.'

 

SOURCE: Tina Gerhardt interviewed by Doug HenwoodBehind the News

 

NON-CELEBRITY AUTHORS SCREWED BY MAD INEQUALITIES IN THE PUBLISHING INDUSTRY

 

'I think I can sum up what I’ve learned [from the Penguin - Simon & Schuster anti-trust trial] is this: The Big Five publishing houses spend most of their money on book advances for big celebrities like Britney Spears and franchise authors like James Patterson and this is the bulk of their business. They also sell a lot of Bibles, repeat best sellers like Lord of the Rings, and children’s books like The Very Hungry Caterpillar. These two market categories (celebrity books and repeat bestsellers from the backlist) make up the entirety of the publishing industry and even fund their vanity project: publishing all the rest of the books we think about when we think about book publishing (which make no money at all and typically sell less than 1,000 copies).'

 

...

'In my essay “Writing books isn’t a good idea” I wrote that, in 2020, only 268 titles sold more than 100,000 copies, and 96 percent of books sold less than 1,000 copies. That’s still the vibe.'

 

Q. Do you know approximately how many authors there are across the industry with 500,000 units or more during this four-year period?

 

A. My understanding is that it was about 50.

 

Q. 50 authors across the publishing industry who during this four-year period sold more than 500,000 units in a single year?

 

A. Yes.

 

— Madeline Mcintosh, CEO, Penguin Random House US

 

'The DOJ’s lawyer collected data on 58,000 titles published in a year and discovered that 90 percent of them sold fewer than 2,000 copies and 50 percent sold less than a dozen copies.

 

'In my essay “No one will read your book,” I said that publishing houses work more like venture capitalists. They invest small sums in lots of books in hopes that one of them breaks out and becomes a unicorn, making enough money to fund all the rest.

 

'Turns out, they agree!'

 

...

We’re very hit driven. When a book is successful, it can be wildly successful. There are books that sell millions and millions of copies, and those are financial gushes for the publishers of that book, sometimes for years to come… A gusher is once in a decade or something. For instance, I don’t know if you know the Twilight series of books? Hachette published the Twilight series of books, and those made hundreds of millions of dollars over the course of time.

 

Right now the novels of Colleen Hoover are topping the bestseller lists in really, really huge numbers and the publishers of those books are making a lot of money. You probably remember The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo… Or the Fifty Shades of Grey series. So once every five years, ten years, those come along for the whole industry and become the industry driver that’s drawing people into bookstores because there is such a commotion about them. 

 

— Michael Pietsch, CEO, Hachette

 

...

 

Top-selling authors were defined as those receiving advances (i.e., guaranteed money) in excess of $250,000. Far fewer than 1 percent of authors receive advances over that mark; Publishers Marketplace, which tracks these things, recorded 233 such deals in all of 2022.

 

— ken whyte, Publisher at Sutherland House

 

***

Markus Dohle, CEO, Penguin Random House, says the top 4 percent of titles drive 60 percent of the profitability. That goes for the rest of them too:

 

It would be just a couple of books in every hundred are driving that degree of profit… twoish books account for the lion’s share of profitability.

 

— Madeline Mcintosh, CEO, Penguin Random House US

 

Around half the books we publish make a profit of some kind.

 

— Michael Pietsch, CEO, Hachette

 

About half of the books we publish make money, and a much lower percentage of them earn back the advance we pay.

 

— Jonathan Karp, CEO, Simon & Schuster

 

'According to Hill, 85 percent of the books with advances of $250,000 and up never earn out their advance. (Meaning the royalties earned never covered the cost of the advance.) Many publishers have realized that maybe those big advances aren’t worth it.'

 

. . .


'Wouldn’t it be great if you could pay $9.99 a month and read all of the books you want? Just like you get all the movies you want from Netflix? Or all the music you want from Spotify?

 

'Technically, it does exist. Kindle Unlimited is the largest, followed by Scribd. Audible isn’t quite all-access, but then Spotify got into audiobooks and made them so. But none of these players have quite taken off the way Netflix or Spotify has. That’s for one reason: The Big Five publishing houses refuse to let their authors participate. 

 

Q. No books are found on Kindle Unlimited? Because you think that’ll be had for the industry?”

 

A. We think it’s going to destroy the publishing industry.

 

— Markus Dohle, CEO, Penguin Publishing House

 

'He’s right. No one would purchase a book again.

 

We all know about Netflix, we all know about Spotify and other media categories, and we also know what it has done to some industries… The music industry has lost, in the digital transformation, approximately 50 percent of its overall revenue pool.

 

— Markus Dohle, CEO, Penguin Publishing House

 

'There’s one reason.

 

Around 20 to 25 percent of the readers, the heavy readers, account for 80 percent of the revenue pool of the industry of what consumers spend on books. It’s the really dedicated readers. If they got all-access, the revenue pool of the industry is going to be very small. Physical retail will be gone—see music—within two to three years. And we will be dependent on a few Silicon Valley or Swedish internet companies that will actually provide all-access.

 

— Markus Dohle, CEO, Penguin Publishing House

 

'The publishing industry would die, that’s for sure. But I’d be willing to bet writers would get their books read way more.

 

'And I think it’s on its way. Spotify has already started publishing audiobooks, and my money is on Substack for eventually publishing written books!'

 

SOURCE: Elle GriffinThe Elysian